Word: growth
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...last several months, something funny has been happening in the commodities trade. After spectacular plunges, the prices of oil, copper, palm oil and others are rallying. This shouldn't be happening given the parlous state of the world economy. The International Monetary Fund this week cut its global growth forecast for 2009, predicting GDP would contract by 1.3%, the most severe recession since the 1930s. Yet oil is some 50% more expensive now than in December. Palm oil, which is used in a wide variety of manufactured foods, has surged by about 50% this year. "The only area...
...course, different types of commodities will react differently as the global economy improves, based on their own specific supply and demand conditions. This makes timing a turnaround complicated. Rogers says he expects commodities prices to be among the first to rise, out of all asset classes, when economic growth begins to return. Other experts argue against a rapid rebound, because inventories are high for commodities such as oil, and because demand for natural resources has been so thoroughly squelched in some industries that it may not fully recover anytime soon. Francisco Blanch, head of commodities research for Merrill Lynch...
Still, bullish investors see little downside in commodities, although returns may not come overnight. Some consider commodities a hedge against another looming threat: inflation. If loose monetary policies implemented by central banks around the world to stimulate growth eventually spark inflation, commodity prices might escalate rapidly. "If the world economy is going to improve, commodities are going to be the best place to be," asserts Rogers. "If the world economy doesn't improve, commodities are going to be the best place to be." Anyone for a truckload of soybeans...
...investors rushing to Rosetta? First off, the company's growth has exploded over the past four years. Rosetta Stone generated $209 million in revenue in 2008, compared to $25.4 million in 2004 - that's a 723% increase. Net income grew 632%, to $13.9 million, over the same period. Some 95% of Rosetta Stone's revenues come from the U.S. market, so there's a huge growth opportunity overseas. Plus, institutional customers like schools, corporations and government agencies account for some 20% of the company's sales. Rosetta Stone recently created a customized Arabic program for the U.S. Army, which includes...
...reputation and available funds, the university is not going anywhere, but delaying improvements will have dismal effects on future endowment performance. The current global economic crisis is being fought by governments from South Africa to Japan with counter-cyclical measures that attempt to hasten the move from recession to growth. The now-revived Keynesian approach justifies the deep temporary deficits with the promise of future growth. The same applies to Harvard, for the endowment will continue to grow–and receive fresh funds–as soon as growth resumes. Hence we should behave counter-cyclically, helping the economy...