Word: guatemala
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...Administration fears a horrifying, though hardly realistic, potential scenario: the Sandinista army storming up though Honduras, linking forces with its revolutionary allies in El Salvador, and driving on through Guatemala and into Mexico. The prospect of an armed Communist bulwark on America's southern flank is what Reagan dreads most. But the governments of Nicaragua's neighbors do not seem as concerned, in part because they believe the U.S. would immediately jump to the rescue. "We're not really afraid of a Sandinista invasion," says one Honduran military officer. "They wouldn't make it to Tegucigalpa before the 82nd Airborne...
...past four years, Salvador President Jose Napoleon Duarte insisted in an interview with TIME last week that the Sandinistas are still providing the rebels with support as well as sanctuary. Said he: "There is no doubt that there is a whole centralization of the guerrillas' efforts in Nicaragua." In Guatemala, the Sandinistas have helped leftist guerrillas make a modest comeback after their insurgency was nearly exterminated by a massive campaign launched by the Guatemalan military...
...governments of the nearby Latin American democracies--Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Costa Rica and Panama--have tried not to get caught in the cross fire between Managua and Washington. So far their policy has been to maintain passable relations with the Sandinistas and to keep the U.S. at arm's length. In Guatemala, for instance, newly elected President Vinicio Cerezo Arevalo describes his policy as "active neutrality." Some Central American leaders are worried that the U.S. will send in the Marines to overthrow the Sandinistas and thereby plunge the whole region into a conflagration. The Sandinistas...
...Nicaraguan government has its problems, yet it enjoys widespread popular support. The Sandinistas' overwhelming victory in elections that were declared by international observers to be largely fair and open is a credential that can hardly be claimed by U.S. client countries like E1 Salvador or Guatemala...
...President's inauguration, scheduled for Jan. 14, will mark Guatemala's return to civilian rule after 15 years of military dictatorship. Cerezo's election is thus expected to clear the way for increased military aid from the U.S., which has earmarked $10 million for Guatemala in fiscal 1986 providing that a civilian government is in power and Guatemala improves its human-rights record. U.S. officials termed the balloting "fair and honest," but warned that they will closely monitor Cerezo's progress in reversing a legacy of government violence against civilians. In 1977 Guatemalan officials rejected U.S. military assistance because...