Word: guess
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Dates: during 1930-1939
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...Correlation between the success predicted for the children by the original tests and the success which they actually attained," said Dr. Lorge, "hovered around zero." Concluded he: "Using the best tests and skills the counselor now has, his predictions at best will have 95% as much error as a guess...
What is, perhaps, the most aggravating feature of Mr. Sullivan's dicta is not the aura of the Union League Club in late afternoon, nor the pomposity of his crystalized oratory, but the insistence that these New Dealers are embarking on adventures whose consequence they neither guess nor consider, that these striplings are being carried away by the Fun of It All with no though of the implications of their wild brainstorms, beyond attaining the goal of oppressive collectivism. While it is perfectly true that Washington could do very well with a dozen economists above the stature of Messrs. Warren...
...Warner, as president of McCall Corp. (publishers of McCall's Magazine), was an expert on merchandising and style promotion. Mr. Noah, as vice president of Gimbel Bros., Philadelphia, knew the department store trade. Their problem was to consolidate manufacturing units, to sell all that American Woolen produced, to guess what styles the public wanted before the public knew itself. A most modest man, Mr. Warner warned newshawks to wait two years to see if he could pull American Woolen out of the red before writing him up as a business hero worthy of the laurels of the Press...
...make peace with the Nazis, demanding as his price a high position in Nazi affairs. The only evidence that can be advanced to support this view is that the Nazi campaign in Austria has slackened noticeably in the past week, and I put forth this suggestion as a guess in the dark. It would seem, however, that in case strong support from the powers does not materialize, that Dolifuss would naturally seize this opportunity and choose to sacrifice his principles rather than his head on the Nazi chopping block...
...instructors know whether a Ford will go faster than a Buick--they aren't interested in that at all. The chances are that they know that you know too, and they figure that even if you don't know the chances are fifty-fifty that you will guess the right answer. So you see just answering Yes or No doesn't do any good...