Word: guessers
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...award categories are populated with consistent archetypes: the underdog, the obvious filler, the perhaps-not-particularly-deserving-this-year-but-boy-is-it-about-time-she-won-already. The winner selection process, intrinsically tainted by Academy politics, is anything but quantitative—statistically, even the most impulsive civilian guesser is likely to make at least one correct prediction. This lends a satisfying, authoritative feel to one’s preferences regarding, for instance, Meryl Streep—who should be given an Oscar every year, by default, just to thank her for being Meryl Streep—versus Sandra...
...With Dawson, you’ve got to hope on that day that luck is with you and you’re a good guesser,” Knowles said...
...This week’s odds are 200:1, next week’s are 150:1, at least according to betonsports.com. But for those who prefer pools to lines, marchtowar.com allows players to pay $5 to guess the day and time when the war will begin. The closest guesser gets 20 percent of the pool (in pre-paid gasoline cards). The other 80 percent goes to humanitarian organizations operating in Iraq...
...nominee for Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, gave strong support for sending 50,000 American troops to help enforce a hypothetical Bosnian peace agreement -- a mission he estimated would cost $4 billion in the first year. The next day, Senate Armed Services chairman and chronic Clinton second- guesser Sam Nunn was skeptical, saying the Administration needed to establish specifically "what our goals are" in Bosnia and "how we get out if the parties begin fighting again...
...what makes a good guesser...