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...authors of The Year 2000 are two professional prophets; the future is their province and their discipline. Herman Kahn, 45, mathematician, physicist and author (On Thermonuclear War), is director of New York's Hudson Institute, a policy-research center that specializes in educated guesswork for such clients as the U.S. Air Force, the Atomic Energy Commission and the Department of Defense. Sociologist Anthony Wiener, 36, is a member of Hudson's research staff. Their book, relentlessly technical and deliberately undramatic, is as far removed from Jules Vernean fantasy as sober analytical methodology can carry it. Kahn and Wiener...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Books: The Shape of Tomorrow | 11/10/1967 | See Source »

...Russians have since announced that five similar shots, which were sent aloft between Jan." 25 and Aug. 8 of this year and apparently made successful re-entries, are part of their Cosmos scientific program. But they would say no more. The rest is a mixture of speculation and scientific guesswork...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Space: Russian Mystery Shots | 9/8/1967 | See Source »

...usually produces four litters, each of six or more young, in her reproductive year. If all lived, one pair would have millions of descendants in two or three years, but the attrition is high enough to keep the numbers fairly constant. Estimates of the U.S. rat population (largely guesswork) range from 90 million to 100 million, or about half as many rats as people. For New York City, the estimates run as high as 8,000,000, or one rat per person. The U.S. Department of the Interior figures that a rat eats 40 Ibs. of food a year...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Epidemiology: Of Rats & Men | 8/11/1967 | See Source »

There was no doubt that Monro enjoyed the role, and on occasion used the HPC as a sounding board for some of his pet ideas. "It was great to have him," Norr says. "He took a lot of the guesswork away, and gave us his vast knowledge of administrative history and his immense good will...

Author: By Linda J. Greenhouse, | Title: HPC Meets Mixed Success, Leads Sheltered Existence | 6/15/1967 | See Source »

Easier to Remove. The tax issue will thus hinge more than ever on the size of Viet Nam spending, and President Johnson has not told even his highest policymakers how much that may be. Left in the dark, his aides are chagrined that their decisions must involve so much guesswork. Says Federal Reserve Chairman William McChesney Martin: "If the defense supplemental is going to be, as many think, between $7 billion and $15 billion, we should take the calculated risk of a one-year tax increase rather than risk another step on the accelerator. It's easier to remove...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Economy: Reaction: Favorable | 11/18/1966 | See Source »

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