Word: happeners
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...differently - time horizons, trading strategies - the markets are basically efficient. But what we know is that people episodically coordinate their behavior. They all become optimistic or pessimistic, and that leads to extremes. Even with the best of intentions, you can't anticipate all the things that are going to happen. (See pictures of the top 10 scared stock traders...
...Bush tax cuts expire. And Harris thinks that if a health-care overall gets passed, that could have significant unforeseen effects on the economy as well. S&P's chief economist, David Wyss, says he thinks most economists are tackling the tricky problem of predicting what will happen in 2011 by doing what they always do: predict the economy will do about average. The problem is that what economists have come to believe is average growth for the U.S. economy in recent years has been falling. The Congressional Budget Office recently said it expects that the U.S. economy will grow...
...scientists "understand the kind of setting in which these earthquakes happen," they can assess the risk of future ones, says Harm Van Avendonk, a research scientist with the University of Texas at Austin's Institute for Geophysics, who participated in the survey. The results can affect policies like helping inform better earthquake-proof building codes. "That's where the research is of great help," he says...
...later. The prospect of another typhoon this week underscores environmentalists' concern that shifts in global temperatures may mean increasingly extreme weather patterns for coastal cities like Manila. "[Ketsana] was a startling, unique event," says Herminia Francisco of the EEPSA in Singapore. "But then I think this is going to happen more and more frequently in the future." (See a TIME graphic on destructive weather...
Other analysts say there is too much at stake for that to happen anytime soon, but that the risk is real. "The cease-fire will likely hold - imperfectly - because the alternatives are worse," says Aaron Miller, a former adviser to six U.S. Secretaries of State on Arab-Israeli affairs and a public-policy fellow at a Washington think tank. "Hamas achieved gains - propaganda; largely the leadership survived; and they still control Gaza. The Israelis got an end to high-trajectory rocket fire into Israel. If either of those objectives are undermined, then things could start up again...