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...Hart camp argues that the Coloradan is, by many yardsticks, a stronger candidate than Mondale. Hart won twelve primaries to Mondale's eleven. When states where delegates were chosen by caucus are added, the two contenders tied 24 to 24. Mondale failed to win a Western or New England primary. Hart consistently showed more strength than Mondale among independents and also won the most Republican votes in those states where party crossovers were permitted. Since neither Democrats nor Republicans command a majority of registered voters (a recent estimate: Democrats 40%, Republicans 25%) independents and Republican defections might possibly hold...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Over the Top, Barely | 6/18/1984 | See Source »

...validity of any continued Hart candidacy thus rests on the theory that he has a better chance of defeating Reagan than does Mondale. Hart once commanded a surprising lead over Mondale in polls pairing the two against Reagan. Hart actually led Reagan last March in a Gallup poll, 52% to 43%, while Mondale trailed the President, 45% to 50%. Recent poll readings are less definitive. The latest Gallup findings, taken early in May, show Reagan leading Mondale by 50% to 46% while the President edges Hart by 49% to 45%. Most Democratic political pros estimate that Hart's margin over...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Over the Top, Barely | 6/18/1984 | See Source »

...Mondale strategists counter that many of Hart's primary wins were in relatively small states, some of which Reagan seems certain to take. They note that Mondale led Hart in the popular vote 4.9 million to 4.5 million. Even in California, estimates of the untabulated raw votes by candidate had Mondale running close. California, like New Jersey, has a process in which delegates are elected directly by districts. Even a slight edge in popularity is usually enough to sweep a district, since voters tend to pick a candidate's full slate of delegates...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Over the Top, Barely | 6/18/1984 | See Source »

Some analysts contend that Mondale would have knocked out Hart midway in the primary season if Jackson had not been pulling a large black vote, which is seen as more liberal and less favorable to Hart. Others argue that Jackson created a following of his own that would not have voted at all without his candidacy. In general, Mondale's aides claim, Hart was merely a receptacle for anti-Mondale votes and had no real constituency to take into the general election. The Hart rebuttal is that Mondale's traditional party support is too limited and that in a fight...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Over the Top, Barely | 6/18/1984 | See Source »

...practical terms, Hart's gentlemanly approach suggested that his would be more of a symbolic reach for attention and influence at the convention than a serious final drive for the prize. He and his delegates would get their well-earned spotlight in the party's prime-time televised assembly. To abandon his bid for the nomination and withdraw his name completely from consideration at the convention would reduce his clout in shaping the party's platform and in working with Jackson to overhaul the delegate selection rules, which were shown to be unfair this year. "The 1,200 delegates...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Over the Top, Barely | 6/18/1984 | See Source »

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