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...explain Chinese politics or society, or the way a system works in any country, for that matter. That much is agreed upon by Harvard's most prominent and widely-quoted Sinologists--John K. Fairbank '29, Higginson Professor of History, Benjamin I. Schwartz '38, Williams Professor of History, Roy M. Hofheinz Jr. '67, professor of Government, and Ross Terrill, assistant professor of Government. In a typical response to a query about the post-Mao direction of Chinese leadership, Fairbank says, "It's just nonsense to try to guess at history from a great distance. The American press likes...

Author: By Anemona Hartocollis, | Title: Divining China's Future | 10/1/1976 | See Source »

Government professor Hofheinz echoes Gold's dissatisfaction with the ability of open-ended labels to get to the crux of Chinese politics. The analogies the widely used factional terms conjure up, he says, "are quite inaccurate. In fact, political factions are not oriented around issues of moderate versus radical, but guns versus rice, central versus local control, equality of education versus political control over it--real live issues about which we know nothing in terms of alignment, or know only by implication...

Author: By Anemona Hartocollis, | Title: Divining China's Future | 10/1/1976 | See Source »

...Hofheinz does not expect jockeying for positions within the leadership to become particularly intense in the near future, though he concedes that such maneuverings have long been obscured by the aura of mystery maintained by the Chinese. "China cannot afford internal turmoil--tendencies toward unity will be much tighter than most Western reporters anticipate--but there will be confusion. That is, there is a possibility of general paralysis, with very deleterious effects, especially economic." Hofheinz believes polarization along the radical-moderate lines could occur only outside the leadership that the foreign press is so fascinated with. "There is an outside...

Author: By Anemona Hartocollis, | Title: Divining China's Future | 10/1/1976 | See Source »

...conflict over the issues Hofheinz focuses on--guns versus rice, central versus local control, equality of education versus political control over it--grew most extreme during the Great Leap Forward of 1958-59 and the Cultural Revolution of the '60s. These startlingly unstable campaigns delineate a unique element in Mao's leadership. Convinced that China would progress only if the principles of revolution remained vital, he encouraged the Chinese people's awareness of the perpetual struggle between two poles--the revolutionary line and the "capitalist road" or "revisionism." Mao's teachings acted as a fulcrum on which these lines would...

Author: By Anemona Hartocollis, | Title: Divining China's Future | 10/1/1976 | See Source »

Although the city has yet to file its suit, Mayor Hofheinz is scouting for a company willing to do the drilling on a "public interest basis" and turn over all royalties to the city as a charitable contribution. So far he has had no takers, and many oilmen suspect that the whole incident is a bit of political grandstanding by the mayor, and that no drilling will ever be done. As a Brownco lawyer tartly puts it: "Anyone who turns down a 35% royalty offer is going to be suspect in the oil industry of having some mental difficulty...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: OIL: Barefoot in the Park | 6/21/1976 | See Source »

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