Word: holsti
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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...Soviet armed forces as a tool of diplomacy has loomed larger." Harvard Political Scientist Samuel Huntington agrees, noting that "detente has been dying for a very long time. What we are witnessing now is the final nail being driven into the coffin." Says Duke University Political Scientist Ole Holsti: "The invasion of Afghanistan has driven home the fact, more than anything since World War II, that whatever the Soviets mean by detente, or anything else, they are prepared to take hard action where they view the opportunity with a relatively low risk...
...Holsti's view is seconded by most experts. They feel that the Kremlin carefully calculated the risks before giving the orders for its troops to swoop into Afghanistan. Though it could easily anticipate diplomatic friction with Washington, it could also believe that there was almost no danger of U.S. or other Western military opposition to the move. Says Huntington: "Moscow saw an opportunity. We were distracted in Iran as we were distracted in the Middle East in 1956 when the Soviets made their move on Hungary. This is their way of doing things...
...Peking have a common interest in blocking Soviet expansion in Asia. Brown then is to sound out his hosts on ways in which their two countries might work more closely toward this goal. A tighter Washington-Peking relationship is not without significant hazards. Duke's Holsti warns against any substantial military assistance to Peking, and says: "The danger is in thinking that because the Chinese and Soviets obviously have poor relations with each other, we therefore share all of the common interests with the Chinese. We don't." Administration analysts who have observed Soviet anger at every stage...