Word: horelick
(lookup in dictionary)
(lookup stats)
Dates: all
Sort By: most recent first
(reverse)
Quite possibly part of the Politburo's purpose in choosing Gorbachev is to put a damper on such talk. According to Arnold Horelick, the director of the Rand Corp./UCLA Center for the Study of Soviet International Behavior, "Gorbachev is being picked as an embodiment of characteristics that the Soviets want to be associated with--dynamism, optimism, confidence...
Well before his formal accession, Gorbachev and the managers of his image had launched a campaign to present him as someone with whom the West could do business. Horelick predicts that Gorbachev will be a "smooth, persuasive purveyor of antihistamines for our nuclear allergies," that is, proposals in arms control that will appeal to nervous Europeans and perhaps nervous Americans too, while not compromising the objectives of Soviet policy...
...proposing, then canceling, the offer of space-weapons talks in Vienna. "If they had really wanted negotiations, they didn't go about it in a way that would lead to negotiations," says a Western diplomat in Moscow. "They really couldn't say no this time." Observes Arnold Horelick, a Rand Corp. expert on the Soviet Union: "The Kremlin leaders are sensitive about being depicted as sulking, hunkered down and petulant. It would have been awkward for the Soviet leadership to turn down such an invitation...
...Soviets understand the motivations behind Washington's mild talk. While they are probably realistic enough to know they cannot do much to damage Reagan politically, they do not want to do him any favors either. Says Arnold Horelick, formerly the CIA's top Kremlinologist, now director of a newly formed Center for the Study of Soviet International Behavior sponsored by the Rand Corp. and U.C.L.A.: "The Soviet leaders will be reluctant to do anything that might gratuitously contribute to Reagan's reelection. That does not mean they would turn their backs on something concrete, but they certainly...
...coasting on old assumptions that may no longer be valid, the military could occupy the vacuum by fashioning its own, probably parochial policy. Ironically, a retreat from its world responsibilities could be as dangerous for American society as an excess of interventionist zeal. As the Rand Corporation's Arnold Horelick points out, indifference to or isolation from the rest of the world could prompt the U.S. to "build walls, and then you'd get social reorganizations conducive to a garrison state...
| 1 |