Word: hypergrowth
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Dates: during 1990-1999
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Over my dead bonds. Call me old fashioned, but after four years of hypergrowth, the likelihood that the S&P can keep up that performance becomes less, not more. You flip a coin four times, and it comes up heads; you cannot conclude that the next flip will yield a head. And even if a fifth head is coming, it doesn't mean there is no risk of a tail--or a tailspin--eventually. I'd be more comfortable if we got to a 10,000 Dow over a longer period of time, during which earnings could catch...
...Hypergrowth in Southeast Asia has been the reliable news for decades, but suddenly the old assumptions are not so certain. Thailand this year has suffered a currency run a la Mexico and for similar reasons: overspending, a loss of competitiveness and the perception that its currency was overvalued. As the Thai baht slid 25% against the U.S. dollar over the past 12 months, other currencies also fell. Then stock markets swooned. Economist Behravesh predicts little growth (1.5%) this year in Thailand, after an annual average of 9% for the past decade. But it will rebound to 3% in 1998. Indonesia...
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