Word: iaea
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...French-British draft that are, one U.S. official complains, "designed to gut the proposed statement." In particular, one source says, Russia is opposing setting a short deadline for Iran?s compliance and is trying to move the issue out of the Security Council and back to the less potent IAEA board...
...Most estimates concur that even if Iran decided to kick out International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors and pursue nuclear weapons, it would be somewhere between three and ten years away from its goal, but U.S. officials have begun portraying Iran as a grave and imminent danger. The U.S. also appears to be throwing the book at Tehran, with Defense Secretary Rumsfeld recently accusing it of unspecified meddling in Iraq, and Secretary of State Rice calling Iran "the central banker for terrorism...
...prove the need for a more confrontational approach. Many of the countries that have backed Washington's diplomatic efforts on Iran's nuclear program oppose both regime change and economic sanctions. China wants a brief statement of concern from the Security Council before sending the matter back to the IAEA and giving more time for Russia to negotiate a compromise; Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned Monday that despite the agreement in Vienna to refer the issue to the Security Council, there is no consensus among the key Council members on how to take the matter forward. Meanwhile...
...Security Council has the power to impose sanctions on Iran, that option is strongly opposed by veto-wielders Russia and China, and won't be initially sought by the U.S. and its allies. Instead, the Security Council will likely issue some form of ultimatum for Iran to comply with IAEA demands within a given time frame - the U.S. is believed to want a 30-day deadline - followed by a further resolution threatening action after that...
...more the confrontation escalates, of course, the harder it will be to find a face-saving formula to allow Iran to back down. The regime in Tehran has wide popular support for its nuclear stand, and it is likely to offer to accept expanded IAEA monitoring of all its activities as a means of allaying Western fears. But right now the U.S. and its allies don't appear likely to accept anything short of a suspension of all enrichment-related activities...