Word: icms
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...Dominic Cummings, former director of a successful campaign against the euro, cites polls showing acute skepticism of the E.U. and all its works: 67% of British voters say it's "failing"; only 27% want it to become a political union; tabloids regularly caricature meddling, know-nothing Brussels bureaucrats. An ICM survey taken after Blair's U-turn showed that only 25% of the British public planned to vote in favor of the constitution; according to Eurobarometer, the E.U.'s polling arm, average support for the pact in the rest of Europe...
...bomb in Britain, but foreigners may do so. "It's allowed in Islam. Even if my own family was killed, I would say it's the will of Allah." His is a tiny movement with a gift for self-promotion, but it has material to work with: a recent ICM poll found that 13% of British Muslims surveyed said further terror attacks on the U.S. would be justified. More moderate Muslims realize they're in a fight for the soul of their religion, and whatever their frustrations with Blair and Bush, last week's arrests caused them to shift...
...Iraq. A direct finding that Blair lied when he denied any role in "outing" Kelly to reporters would put the P.M.'s job in serious jeopardy. Two-thirds of the public think Blair should resign if the report declares him a liar, according to a poll by ICM Research...
...planning a blitz of new initiatives on health, crime and transportation. If Blair emerges relatively unscathed from the David Kelly report and ekes out even a narrow victory on tuition fees, he could climb back. "People don't want wishy-washy Prime Ministers," says Nick Sparrow, managing director of ICM. "In six months, if they think Blair stuck to what he believes in, a narrow victory could do him good...
...risk for Blair now is that the very size of the victory awarded by Hutton will provoke a destabilizing backlash. An NOP poll taken the day Hutton issued his report found that 49% of the public considered it "a whitewash" - that percentage rose in subsequent surveys - and an ICM poll shows that three times more people trust the BBC (31%) to tell the truth than the government (10%), with 49% saying "neither." It would hurt Blair to be seen as continuing to kick the state broadcaster when it's down; as his predecessor Winston Churchill once said, "in victory, magnanimity...