Word: icms
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...that Blair lied when he denied any role in "outing" Kelly's name to reporters - a conceivable outcome, based on the public evidence put before Hutton - would make his job untenable. Two-thirds of the public thinks Blair should resign if Hutton declares him a liar, according to an ICM poll. It's Blair's perfect storm. Frustrations with his leadership - his determination to introduce more private contractors into the public sector, his presidential style, his assumption that Labour M.P.s should repay his electoral success by toeing the line, his defiant Iraq policy - have been swirling around him for months...
...disaster for the governing party to be seen as divided," says one Blair aide. Recrimination and bad press would hand the Conservatives a chance for revival before a general election expected next year. But even the narrowest victory could let Blair climb back, says Nick Sparrow, managing director of ICM Research. "People don't want wishy-washy Prime Ministers. In six months, if they think Blair stuck to what he believes in, a narrow victory could do him good." A senior Blair aide agrees, but harbors at least a tiny doubt about this week. "It could...
...declared, and a new kind of practical, effective politics would take their place. Now politicians from both sides of the old divide are converging on the middle ground - and as a result they're beginning to look "rather like two major grocery stores," says Nick Sparrow, managing director of ICM Research, a British polling firm. Political parties "offer very similar sorts of policies at very similar sorts of costs." The trouble is, people aren't buying the muddled result. Ruling parties aren't riding high - but they don't have opponents vivid or tough enough to take them down. Schr...
...tough sell. "Harvey offered very severe terms," says Ken Kamins, Jackson's agent at ICM. "Also, people thought Peter was untested for something of this size." Mark Ordesky knew better. An executive at New Line--and an old friend of Jackson's--Ordesky championed Lord of the Rings to his bosses, Shaye and Lynne. "Everybody around the world knew about this series of books," says Shaye, who suggested they should make three movies. "It was so wonderfully presold. It was like Superman or Batman." By making them all at once, they reasoned, the cost per film would be diminished; most...
...only do voters consider Blair more capable than Hague (50% to 16%), they also reject the Tories' key domestic pledge, an American-inspired plan to cut taxes by at least $12 billion a year, possibly up to $30 billion. According to an ICM poll, voters prefer Labour's tax policies to the Conservatives' by 31% to 18%. On the issues they rate most important - health, crime, education, the economy - voters decisively back Labour. And while they slightly prefer Hague's determination to keep out of the euro, which he has been stressing, over Blair's "wait and see" approach...