Word: incumbentitis
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Not many people would have predicted this. There are some Democrats who will never forgive Kerry for his 2004 loss to George W. Bush, and nearly five years later it is still a sensitive subject for him. "We did pretty damn well against an incumbent President, under very, very difficult...
But observers in Kiev say Medvedev's attack only proves that Russia has learnt nothing from its botched intervention in 2004, and that the latest move is likely to backfire - despite a generally positive attitude toward Russia, Ukrainians often react negatively when they feel they're being bullied. And although...
What's the optimal outcome for the U.S. in Thursday's Afghan election? In the last presidential race in 2004, that question would have been a no-brainer. Hamid Karzai was Washington's man, campaigning as the incumbent in Afghanistan's first post-Taliban election, having been installed by international...
Despite its frustrations with Karzai, however, the U.S. is not pinning its hopes on the incumbent being replaced. "Although the election is very important, It would be a mistake to put too much importance on its outcome," suggests Stephen Biddle of the Council on Foreign Relations. "The question of which...
Candace Rondeaux, Afghanistan analyst for the International Crisis Group, says the insecurity and questions about the value of the vote "given the potential for fraud has kept a number of voters from the polls." A low turnout will do "little to enhance the sense that all Afghans are included in...