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Boom! The U.S. economy is still sizzling, growing at 4.1 percent annually in the first three months of the year, with inflation still fizzling, by one measure, at 1.1 percent. Boom! Corporate profits and housing starts are both headed up again, and the all-important drunken-sailor index -- consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of U.S. economic activity -- rose at an annual rate of 6.8 percent, the highest in 11 years. Bust! The Dow drops 267 points, taking plenty of Nasdaq e-stocks with it, and Wall Street is pocked with potholes once again. What's going...
Still, says Schrempp, "our toughest times are ahead." Last year, in a move that still draws an angry reaction from Schrempp, DaimlerChrysler was refused admission to the Standard & Poor's 500 index--important because inclusion would make the company's stock a must-buy for many money managers. The majority of the company's shareholders are now in Europe, though the largest stake is controlled from Kuwait. Another concern is contract negotiations this summer with an increasingly feisty United Auto Workers union. In Europe the economy still trails Schrempp's ambitious expectations, and so do sales of the Smart...
...dead until a few weeks ago--may be in favor for a year or longer. The biggest cyclical names, like Caterpillar, International Paper and DuPont, have already had huge moves but probably still have room to run. Consider also an investment in a Wilshire 5000 or Russell 2000 stock-index fund. Both have a heavy slug of small- and middle-size basic-industry companies, which tend to rally as a group on the heels of the bigger names...
...YORK: It probably won't be a Black Monday, but after Wall Street's market movers get through stewing in their juices this weekend, expect something like charcoal gray. The Consumer Price Index was way up Friday -- the 0.7 percent hike was the biggest since the Gulf War -- and by close of day the Dow had shed 194 points. Now investors have two days to read the papers, look ahead to the Fed's interest-rate confab Tuesday and wonder: Is the best news on inflation behind us? And more important, does Alan Greenspan think...
...This is just a temporary spike," he says. "The jump in the PPI -- like the jump in the Consumer Price Index that's expected tomorrow -- is mostly because the oil-production cuts that OPEC instituted in March have only now kicked in. Things should level off again in May." But -- and there's always one where economic forecasting is concerned -- if that slowdown doesn't happen, the Asian bullet that Rubin/Greenspan/Summers dodged last winter may well get them on the ricochet. "If the recovery in the crisis economies continues," says Baumohl, "the U.S. will start to see real inflationary pressure...