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...high monthly figure for the trade deficit, for example, can send floods of money rushing out of the stock market in a sell-off. The sheer quantity of statistics available is immense. Nearly every business day the U.S. Government releases one indicator or another, from the Consumer Price Index and capacity utilization to retail sales and housing starts. Too often, however, the overall impact of the numbers is to generate confusion and anxiety. Some of the statistics are subject to repeated revisions. Other gauges fluctuate so wildly from month to month that they seem almost useless. More and more...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A Mess of Misleading Indicators | 6/13/1988 | See Source »

Some of the Government's economic compasses may be poorly constructed as well. The index of leading economic indicators, a compilation of statistics designed to predict the direction of the economy, is frequently derided as the "index of misleading economic indicators" because of its uneven forecasting record. After last October's stock-market crash, the index declined for three consecutive months -- normally a strong sign that a recession is on the way. An upward revision in the December figure, however, broke the downward streak, and fears of a recession evaporated...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A Mess of Misleading Indicators | 6/13/1988 | See Source »

...kids assemble for a voice lesson under a maze of heating pipes and lighting wires. Take-out fried chicken, quarts of Tropicana are put aside. "Feel how loose your tongue is! Baaa, baaa, baaa," exhorts the teacher, an ivory- skinned redhead, hammering on a piano key with her index finger. The kids imitate the sound and start giggling. "Don't laugh at each other! We're here to learn!" scolds the redhead. Silence. Then a few whispers in Zulu. "Heee, heee, haaa, haaa!" sings the teacher. More giggles. When class is finally dismissed, the kids clatter up a narrow staircase...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: In New York: Children of Apartheid Meet Broadway | 6/13/1988 | See Source »

...Reserve, but the Chicago exchanges oppose that move on the ground that they would no longer have their own advocate. At present, the CFTC sticks up for the Chicago markets whenever the SEC tries to fence them in. Earlier this month the CFTC approved two new forms of stock-index contracts -- the first authorized since the crash -- bringing the total number to 18. The Chicago Merc hopes to get approval soon for a futures contract to be based on the Tokyo exchange's Nikkei 225 stock index...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The War of Two Cities | 5/30/1988 | See Source »

...stock-index futures market is currently suffering from depressed volume, down some 50% on the Chicago Merc compared with May 1987, partly because several major New York investment firms have halted index-arbitrage for their own accounts. While the firms did so largely as a public relations move to calm investor fears, most of them continue to conduct program trading to satisfy customers whose money they manage. Says Max Chapman, president of Kidder, Peabody: "Speculation is not a dirty word...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The War of Two Cities | 5/30/1988 | See Source »

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