Word: inflationitis
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Right now the interest rate on a 10-year Treasury bond is about 3.5%. That could go lower - in fact, it did go lower at the height of the panic last fall, to just above 2%. But the likeliest future path for Treasury yields, Atteberry figures - on the basis of...
Atteberry is hoping to navigate the minefield ahead by holding only bonds that come due soon, which are less sensitive to changes in interest rates (but also have a lower yield than longer-dated bonds). He may ask FPA New Income's board for permission to increase the fund's...
Most bondholders, though, will find it hard to avoid losses. And what will retail investors do once bonds have burned them too? Atteberry thinks many will just put their money in the bank. The trade-off there is a measly return: the highest savings-account rate in the land is...
In lieu of imposing a major price hike, the FLO is reviewing other ways it can help farmers. It's making cheaper loans more widely available, providing more technical assistance to help farmers grow better-quality beans and may begin automatically adjusting its minimum price for inflation.
To be sure, we have a long way to go until the stimulus is finished. The government has spent just $100 billion of the $787 billion that Congress approved in stimulus spending in February. Much of the rest of the money is due to be spent in 2010. As of...