Word: intifadas
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...major unknown factor remains how much Arafat is really going to toe the line of the international community on violence. His intentions could be seriously tested this weekend, because September 29th is the first anniversary of the current intifada. His ability to keep a lid on violence this weekend will therefore be a major test...
...moved to challenge Sharon for the Likud leadership, that pressure sent Sharon onto the Temple Mount in Jerusalem, in a bid to garner support from the right which was then seized on as the nominal - and I stress nominal, because it was not the real reason - for the current intifada...
...moot point - if the pressure is there, then until now it hasn't been working. Sharon is still holding out for his 48 hours of calm before allowing the meeting, but attacks are continuing. Also, later this week is the first year's anniversary of the current intifada, and major demonstrations are planned in every Palestinian town. Those demonstrations will, in all likelihood, lead to clashes with the Israelis, and more deaths. There are also strong indications that Hamas or Islamic Jihad might want to hit Israel around that day. And then there's also big unknown of what...
...much else has really changed. So many members of Arafat's own Fatah organization, for example, have ignored his cease-fire call, saying it's not valid unless the Palestinians get something in return. Many of them believe that they will force Israel to back down by continuing this intifada for a number of years...
...Anti-American sentiment has peaked over the past year because of the Palestinian uprising. A primary theme in the current intifada is control over the Muslim holy sites in Jerusalem, an issue that stirs powerful emotions across the Arab world. Strong U.S. political support for Israel and the fact that Israel has used U.S.-supplied F-16s and Apache helicopters against Palestinians has fanned the anti-American flames...