Word: intifadas
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...have to understand that this is no longer about an intifada. Where are the marches and demonstrations, or the civil disobedience? It's gone; it's history now. Nobody is talking intifada. Bullets are talking; M-16s and Kalashnikovs are talking. But this is not an intifada. If you want to win world public opinion, you don't shoot at Gilo. All that achieves is the destruction of 200 Palestinian houses, so it's a losing battle. If you want to fight, you have to have a strategy, and part of that program is that you can't allow your...
...Palestinian leadership has no answer to the strategy of Sharon. If Israel allows Palestinians to return to work, Sharon's plan will succeed. Arafat can't keep saying the intifada will continue when the main concern of his people is to feed themselves and earn some income. If the Palestinian leadership keeps operating in this way, I predict that Sharon will easily survive his three-year term. His best assets may be his enemies, both on the Israeli and the Palestinian side...
...some land and other small measures - he didn't want to have to go to Camp David and negotiate a final deal. And so with Sharon, too, Arafat may be more comfortable with a few concrete gestures that could serve as an incentive to try and tone down the intifada. It's not clear that he'll be able to do that, though - in the short term there may well be a spurt of violence. But in the long term, Sharon is more likely to pursue a phased agreement, which amounts to a final-status agreement...
...condemned by Arafat, Israeli sources also believe they're done in the knowledge that the Palestinian Authority isn't going to come after the perpetrators. And shootings have continued in the West Bank, too. Arafat has to persuade lots of local guys whose power has grown considerably during the intifada that they should stop shooting people and allow negotiations to resume, and that's not going to be easy...
...Presumably there's also pressure on Sharon for new tactics to cope with the intifada...