Word: investors
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...after that intersection of praising the American spirit, Obama and Buffett part ways violently when it comes to the economy. The investor's view is plainly stated: "We're certain, for example, that the economy will be in shambles throughout 2009 - and, for that matter, probably well beyond - but that conclusion does not tell us whether the stock market will rise or fall." He also believes that the government's intervention in the financial system, while necessary, will eventually cause a dangerous inflation. (See pictures from the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders' Meeting...
...investor psychology close to where it needs to be at for something explosive to happen? The most outstanding feature of this crisis compared to any other that I've been through or studied is not that we have debt problems or not that the stock market's come down. The most outstanding feature to me is the level of fear this financial crisis has created - the panic, the sheer loss of confidence. I certainly have not been through one like this. Even the '82 market one wasn't this bad from a fear perspective...
...eyes are now on the G20 summit, to be held in London on April 2. "One way to shore up investor confidence and stop the wholesale sell-off would be to get a coordinated response from the G20," says Shearing. "The market is being driven by fear and panic right now, which is what happens in a crisis. They could open up funding for the region through tie-ins with central banks in Western Europe or make available an IMF crisis fund of $500 billion for emerging Europe during the downturn...
...important are whistleblowers in catching investor fraud? According to Stephen Obie, acting director of the division of enforcement at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, over 50% of Ponzi schemes and other frauds he investigates come to him through whistleblowers and investor complaints. The CFTC is the sister agency of the SEC, handling commodities, futures, and foreign currency fraud...
...given all the worrisome economic news and negative market momentum, what would it take to turn a market bullish? Says Roth: "I'd become more bullish if I saw traders get very bearish and sell out, taking short interest much higher relative to volume." Beyond that sort of investor capitulation he'd also become more bullish, he says, if there were a big drop in long-term interest rates, especially in corporate bonds, which could prompt investors to shift their focus to stocks. At the moment, he says, it's a waiting game...