Word: iowa
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...will to prognosticate is the dark addiction of the pundit class. No matter how wrong they got Iowa and New Hampshire, Republicans were soon buzzing over phone lines and trading emails about the road ahead. McCain and Huckabee are chasing Romney into Michigan, hoping to land a knockout punch in the state where Romney's father was once governor. Four days past that comes South Carolina, where McCain's 2000 bid was rudely demolished. But there, as everywhere, the political landscape is changed in unpredictable ways. The state's solid G.O.P. machine has fragmented into factions only occasionally willing...
...nanosecond, women who had swooned for Obama did a double take for Clinton. In Iowa, Obama had tidily won female voters, 35% to Clinton's 30%; five days later, those numbers flipped, and Clinton carried women, 47% to 34%. More striking still was the turnaround among unmarried women - somewhat snottily referred to as the "spinster" vote - whom Obama had won by 13 percentage points in Iowa. That demographic swung 30 points in Clinton's favor in New Hampshire...
...What's more, signs of a passion gap emerged in Iowa, where the Democratic caucuses drew twice as many voters as Republican ones. Campaign events often had a very different feel - Democrats big and brassy and confident; Republican gatherings smaller and more dutiful. It was easy to find voters who said they had decided for Edwards or Obama but had great respect for Clinton and thought she'd make a fine President as well. Many Republican voters talked about a lesser of evils...
...G.O.P. was practically buoyant compared with the gloom that reigned when Obama roared out of Iowa. Having spent years planning for an epic rematch against the Clintons, their favorite archvillains, Republicans suddenly saw a new and looming foe rumbling the ground as he approached. Obama's lack of political baggage and abundance of star power made the all-too-human qualities of the Republican field more apparent...
...progress on a few core issues, but on the royal "we" of the Clinton presidency. She was a part of everything, she insists, from health care to foreign policy. To drive the point home, her campaign sent former President Clinton out virtually full-time on the campaign trail across Iowa and New Hampshire. The signature photograph from the Clinton campaign on the day the Iowa caucuses fired the starting gun of the 2008 campaign was not Senator Clinton engaging with voters, but the Clinton couple, Hillary and Bill, having lunch together...