Word: iowa
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...Obama held his own with the labor vote in Iowa; Clinton got it back in New Hampshire, by 10 points. He won among women in Iowa; they swung over to her by a 13-point margin in New Hampshire, along with blue collar workers, a reflection of the fact that voters' greatest concern in the state was the economy. Round 2 went to Clinton. Now both candidates set their shoulders to head back into the fray. And voters in the other 48 states get ready for their turn...
...Whipped in Iowa by Huckabee - a former Baptist minister with a parson's demeanor and a cobra's bite - Romney foundered in New Hampshire on a block of granite named McCain. When the Associated Press called the New Hampshire race shortly after the polls closed, McCain's volunteers screamed for joy, but the candidate's mood was more muted. McCain had spent the previous 24 hours superstitiously re-creating the trappings of his smashing New Hampshire win eight years ago - sleeping in the same hotel room, wearing the same emerald green sweater and so on. "I guess more nostalgia...
...Soul-Searching Romney should have seen both losses coming. No matter how little money or press Huckabee received, he was tailored from the get-go to appeal to Iowa caucuses. They like down-to-earth, Bible-reading, unflashy dark horses: just ask Jimmy Carter. Huckabee's populism and gift for campaigning made him an irresistible choice for Iowa Republicans, and he brought remarkable numbers of Evangelicals out to vote. And when the crotchety, conservative New Hampshire Union Leader joined the elbow-patch-liberal Concord Monitor in endorsing McCain, Romney was on notice that his mansion on a New Hampshire lakefront...
...will to prognosticate is the dark addiction of the pundit class. No matter how wrong they got Iowa and New Hampshire, Republicans were soon buzzing over phone lines and trading emails about the road ahead. McCain and Huckabee are chasing Romney into Michigan, hoping to land a knockout punch in the state where Romney's father was once governor. Four days past that comes South Carolina, where McCain's 2000 bid was rudely demolished. But there, as everywhere, the political landscape is changed in unpredictable ways. The state's solid G.O.P. machine has fragmented into factions only occasionally willing...
...What's more, signs of a passion gap emerged in Iowa, where the Democratic caucuses drew twice as many voters as Republican ones. Campaign events often had a very different feel - Democrats big and brassy and confident; Republican gatherings smaller and more dutiful. It was easy to find voters who said they had decided for Edwards or Obama but had great respect for Clinton and thought she'd make a fine President as well. Many Republican voters talked about a lesser of evils...