Word: iowa
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Once the weaker candidates are knocked out, "the serious group persuasion begins, where caucus attendees who are not in groups large enough to be viable are courted," says Bruce Gronbeck, a political science professor at the University of Iowa and co-editor of the book Presidential Campaigns and American Self Images. Sometimes deals are made - as in 2004, when Dennis Kucinich, lacking viability, threw his support behind John Edwards (this year, he's getting behind Barack Obama). Those bargains are tenuous, though, and as unpredictable as the caucus-goers themselves. Unions, for example, often succeed in getting voters to turn...
Facing celebrity candidates endowed with hundreds of millions of dollars, the one thing Joe Biden may have going for him with only days to go before the Iowa caucuses are low expectations. For most of the campaign, few pundits or members of the media have given the Delaware Senator much of a chance of having a respectable showing in Iowa. "The people that come out of here are going to be the ones that beat the expectations that [the media sets], it could be four people, it could be three people," Biden told TIME on Monday. "The plain old politician...
...Obama and John Edwards, and lately it seems that he may have a real shot. For Iowans looking for an experienced candidate, Biden arguably has the longest and most distinguished resume in the field. And it is on that strength that he is drawing surprising support in pockets across Iowa, particularly in the eastern cities like Dubuque and Cedar Rapids, as well as in rural areas, where he's giving Edwards a run for his money...
...large crowds, Biden yesterday signed up more than 100 precinct captains - people who will stand up and argue for him in the individual caucuses - in a single day and has raised $750,000 online in the last month. And while he hasn't budged much in recent Iowa polls, Biden has gained most in the category of experience. Of the 33% of likely Iowa caucus-goers polled by ABC News/The Washington Post who said experience was the most important quality in a candidate, nearly half said they favored Clinton, 15% said Edwards, 10% chose Biden and 9% picked Obama...
Biden's campaign has been an old-fashioned retail operation, with him and his family blanketing the state. The strategy worked well for Jimmy Carter, who won his term after investing a lot of time shaking hands and answering every question in Iowa. Biden's large extended family, including his mother, siblings, kids and grandkids, have held more than 2,000 events across the state for him. That's compared to the nearly 140 events Obama's wife and sisters have hosted, 40 events held by Clinton family members including husband former President Bill Clinton, and the few dozen campaign...