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Some of the most interesting things to observe as we near the Iowa Caucus and the New Hampshire Primary are voters’ opinions on which candidates are most “electable...
...side in these battleground areas.” Anti-Clintonites have cited a recent Zogby poll that showed 50 percent of the country would never vote for her, the highest percentage of opposition for any candidate of either party. But according to a recent Times/CBS News poll, voters in Iowa and New Hampshire consider her the most electable among Democrats...
...don’t blame voters in Iowa and New Hampshire for trying to find the great white hope of their party, hoping to make sure the next occupant of the White House reflects their deepest held beliefs. But our pragmatism often fails. In 2004, John Kerry rose quickly at the very end to win the primary states because he was seen as the best candidate to win the general election. He probably wasn?...
...debate about who among the Republicans is a true conservative. It also reinforced what has become one of the truisms of the G.O.P. race this cycle - that the social conservative movement has splintered to the point where it may no longer be a movement at all. The ABC/Washington Post Iowa poll showing Huckabee's surge into a first-place tie with Romney was taken after Thompson received the NRLC endorsement. Thompson's improvement has cheered up his supporters and advisers, but some wonder whether it has come too late to carry him deep into the primaries. "I wish it were...
...Thompson's numbers in Iowa have actually inched up since he started broadcasting ads in the state; in the ABC/Washington Post Iowa poll, he ranks third with 16%, slightly ahead of Giuliani. And the campaign is hoping for a similar bump in South Carolina, the state Thompson almost certainly has to win to have any chance of becoming the nominee. "This thing is wide open, everyone's numbers are soft," says one Thompson aide optimistically. But then the aide ads, "I do think this Huckabee thing is real. If Huckabee wins Iowa, that changes things dramatically...