Word: iowa
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...that worry might seem premature, given that the Iowa caucuses are still a year away. But the race for the Republican nomination is already taking a shape that alarms many conservatives, especially the Evangelicals who were so crucial to Bush's re-election in 2004. None of the top three potential Republican candidates considering a bid to succeed Bush has a record that makes the right entirely comfortable. Senator John McCain originally opposed Bush's tax cuts, supports looser immigration policies, voted against a constitutional amendment banning gay marriage and was an architect of the deal under which Senate Democrats...
...early, and the 2008 campaign calendar suggests that they may do it even faster this time. As many as 20 states will have held their primaries by mid-February 2008--a time when, in earlier years, the candidates and their campaign organizations would still be dusting the snows of Iowa and New Hampshire from their boots. The practical effect of accelerating the schedule is that none of the contenders will be able to put all their hopes on getting a bounce from one or two early victories. Any serious candidate will have to be raising tens of millions of dollars...
...These are serious, judicious people; neither has the untrammeled ego that enables some politicians to see past their own limitations. Obama knows he is inexperienced, and he knows that every wave eventually crashes--and that he'll need a second, more substantive act when, after his umpteenth visits to Iowa and New Hampshire, he is no longer a novelty. He has never experienced a tight, tooth-and-claw political marathon where even the tiniest of decisions, the smallest of slips, can have profound consequences. And he knows that Clinton has. The junior Senator from New York has spent much...
...think is important and how to explain complicated things in the most accessible way. He also understands the weird chronology of presidential politics, the patience needed to last through interminable house parties and candidate forums, the fierce compression of time that will take place a year from now when Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire and South Carolina spin through their elections in a matter of weeks. "But his greatest strength is playing hurt," says James Carville. "You just can't go through one of these things without making mistakes, and there is no politician I know who has handled tough times...
...well liked in Iowa, where polls show him ahead of three of his likely opponents, Clinton, John Kerry and Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack. If Obama runs, his task will become much more difficult, since Edwards would then be competing against a politician with many of the same attributes - charisma, good looks, an idealistic message - and who is an even fresher face on the political scene. Of course, Edwards ran and lost as as the fresh face in 2004. Now he's hoping his experience and unorthodox style will be what helps him finish...