Word: ipos
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...forecast this month from PricewaterhouseCoopers (PWC), a global consulting firm, Chinese companies will raise $52 billion this year through initial public stock offerings in Shanghai and Shenzhen, more than double the amount forecast at the start of the year. Remarkably, this makes it likely China will generate more IPO money in 2007 than any other major market in the world did in 2006. This year, says Richard Sun, a partner at PWC, only London is on a pace to outstrip the Chinese markets in total capital raised through IPOs...
...buoyancy of China's equity markets. The relentless increase in stock prices in both Shanghai and Shenzhen-the former market has trebled in value in just the past 18 months-has triggered a stampede of Chinese companies eager to offer shares to a ravenous public. But is the IPO boom a historic milestone marking the permanent shift of China's financial center of gravity from Hong Kong to the mainland? Or is it a temporary aberration that, for investors, will come to a tragic and costly...
...share market-stocks priced in renminbi that are available almost exclusively to mainland investors-is experiencing a classic bubble and is destined to crash. Certainly it isn't hard to find evidence to support this conclusion. The 1990s U.S. technology and dotcom bubble saw an explosion of IPOs that peaked in 1999, when companies raised $63.1 billion (still a U.S. record). The bubble burst the following year. China's shares, which now trade on average at about 45 times next year's earnings estimates, are definitely expensive. But there are differences between China's bourses now and the NASDAQ then...
...Chinese government views this blue-chip IPO parade as essential for economic modernization. "The government wants a healthy equity culture to gradually develop in China," says Jing Ulrich, managing director of China equities at JPMorgan in Hong Kong, "because allocating capital more efficiently is central to the ongoing reform process." The government has outsized influence over large Chinese corporations for a simple reason: most being brought to market are state owned. Encouraging big, well-known companies to make their shares available to domestic investors-who have very limited access to markets abroad-makes sense. China's equity markets have...
...trying to influence markets, policymakers must balance on a tightrope amid shifting financial winds. Some investors are already miffed at the government for allowing the IPO spigot to open wide, saying that the burgeoning supply of shares could push prices down. As far as the authorities are concerned, a bit of a correction is probably welcome. But they don't want a bust. When the Shanghai Composite Index plunged 8.8% in February after analysts warned Beijing was about to impose a capital-gains tax, the government quickly backed off. Stocks resumed their rise, but dangers remain. As tech investors learned...