Word: iran
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...Richard Dalton is a former British ambassador to Iran and a fellow at Chatham House...
Still, the Iranians are likely to return to the negotiating table at some point: when they do will depend on how soon the turmoil within the political establishment dies down. It could be months. Given the West's skepticism about Iran's election results, fresh Iranian government resentments will now be on the table alongside old ones. Crucially, though, these grievances are unlikely to sink the talks before they get started. The issues are too important. Neither side, for that matter, has a better policy in mind. There is absolutely nothing to be gained now from writing off Obama...
...Iran needs to realize that it will not divide the Europeans and the U.S. from Russia and China, and that it cannot count on Europe putting its economic interests in Iran ahead of its desire for regional stability. Nor should Iran expect recognition as the single power in its neighborhood - other states have a right to make alliances, and the way to stability in the Persian Gulf region is not to try to drive out powers such as the U.S. but to reconcile different interests within a cooperative security framework. Iran will face further sanctions if it refuses to negotiate...
...Iran should see that, great though its potential is, its future requires more, not less, integration in the world economy. An accommodation with the international community as represented in the International Atomic Energy Agency is essential for that. Europe, for its part, needs to rebut criticism that the West has been weak in the face of the clampdown in Iran. More strident or active support for the Iranian opposition would harm it, just as new U.S. sanctions now would do little more than allow Ahmadinejad to claim that the West is as hostile to Iran's people...
What do you think about the pressure Iran puts on journalists? Eduardo Chikui SAO PAULO, BRAZIL...