Word: jihad
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...Presumably Arafat will find it easier to persuade Hamas and Islamic Jihad to restrain themselves rather than to face a potential confrontation on his own streets if he tries to shut them down entirely...
...Israeli intelligence believes he has already sent that signal to Hamas and Islamic Jihad, and that for the most part right now, they're observing it. The message will be interpreted as no attacks over the Green Line (inside Israel proper), but business as usual in the West Bank and Gaza. Arafat expects that the international community will see attacks in the West Bank and Gaza in a different light to attacks inside Israel. And, of course, the body count is always much lower in such attacks in the West Bank and Gaza, and the attacks don't exactly make...
...some of these things without having to sign a final deal ending the conflict. So that will help him sell a policy shift if he chooses to make one. But the real question is how far he's prepared to go in confronting Hamas and Islamic Jihad, who have no interest either in restoring the peace process, or in an international anti-terrorism campaign...
...drove its most extreme elements underground - where they've led a merciless war of terror against politicians and citizens alike. The most notorious Algerian terror faction, the Armed Islamic Group (GIA), had been founded by men who'd fought as volunteers alongside Bin Laden in Afghanistan's anti-Soviet 'jihad.' When that war ended with the Soviet withdrawal, the men moved into France and began recruiting young thugs and exploiting their larcenous talents to raise money and build an infrastructure to attack France for its support of the Algerian government...
...continuing. Also, later this week is the first year's anniversary of the current intifada, and major demonstrations are planned in every Palestinian town. Those demonstrations will, in all likelihood, lead to clashes with the Israelis, and more deaths. There are also strong indications that Hamas or Islamic Jihad might want to hit Israel around that day. And then there's also big unknown of what the Israeli Arabs will do. Demonstrations are planned to commemorate those who died when police fired on them during a demonstration last year, and the big question is what kind of demonstrations they...