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Since then, the notoriously secretive North Korean government has become increasingly impervious to American diplomatic pressure. With its recent underground nuclear test, Kim Jong Il’s regime has effectively taken the possibility of most sorts of military action from the U.S. off the table, and has rendered even diplomatic alternatives more complicated...
Admittedly, it is never possible to say with certainty whether someone as unpredictable as Kim Jong Il will uphold his end of the bargain. There is no indication, however, that continued sanctions would ever have coerced him to shutdown his nuclear power plants. Only through engagement and negotiation will we be able to change North Korea; isolationism can only result in heightened tensions and an increasingly belligerent state of affairs...
...those facilities as the U.S. and others insist? To answer that, we need to ask why the North developed and secured nuclear weapons, over several decades, at such a high cost and risk. There are a number of reasons. First, nuclear status is a political trophy for Kim Jong Il. From senior party members down to young children, North Koreans have boasted to recent visitors that Kim's great feat of testing a nuclear bomb last October has enabled their country to stand as an equal with the big powers. Second, the nuclear program is intended to deter a possible...
When dealing with North Korea, "making sure" is always the hardest part. Since 1994, when the Clinton Administration cajoled Pyongyang into promising to abandon its nuclear-weapons program, North Korean dictator Kim Jong Il has repeatedly made and then reneged on such accords. For the Bush Administration, whose officials had once speculated openly about regime change, the agreement signed on Feb. 13 represented a marked shift to diplomacy. But have the U.S. and its four negotiating partners--South Korea, China, Russia and Japan--laid a solid foundation for eliminating Kim Jong Il's nuclear arsenal? Or is this agreement...
...hard to see why they would do so. Ever since Bush's speech in 2002 labeling North Korea a member of the "axis of evil," Kim Jong Il has believed "he has a big, fat target painted on his back," says a former U.S. diplomat. "Kim believes that having a few nukes in his pocket is the ultimate guarantee that no one will try to topple his regime militarily. He's probably right about that, and no matter how much fuel oil or diplomatic goodies we send his way, he's not going to negotiate that away...