Word: jouvenel
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French Political Scientist Bertrand de Jouvenel has described two of the main categories of leaders as dux, literally leader, and rex, literally ruler. Dux is the activist and innovator, often an inspirational type. Rex is the stabilizer or broker or manager...
...recent years, the art of prediction has gained from sophisticated new analytic techniques and the computer. A half-scientific school of predictors known as futurists-men like De Jouvenel and Herman Kahn-has come into vogue. Will they prove to be more accurate than their less scientific, more intuitive predecessors...
...said for the futurists, and for prophets of all kinds, is that their predictions force men to examine the likely outcome of what they are doing, and then add a little to the limited choice and control men have over events. "I would willingly say," declares Bertrand de Jouvenel, "that forecasting would be an absurd enterprise were it not inevitable. We have to make wagers about the future; we have no choice in the matter...
...despair, and predict man will go on saying "Of course" forever-or as long as he can breathe his dirty air. French Anthropologist Claude Lévi-Strauss believes that pollution will grow worse, and that man will proceed with the wanton destruction of other living beings. Bertrand de Jouvenel adds...
...Europe; factory workers will reject the monotony of the assembly line. Employees at all levels will demand that corporate goals mesh with their personal goals, and socially irresponsible companies will not be able to attract talent. "People will have to be recognized as individuals," says French Futurist Bertrand de Jouvenel. "You have to acknowledge man as a human being. If you forget this, you lose everything...