Word: kaplan
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...tall, spare economist from the University of Denver, Dr. Abraham David Hannath Kaplan, returned from an economic expedition into darkest Reconversion last week with an assurance to U.S. businessmen that in the early postwar world they have little to fear. His report was his book The Liquidation of War Production (McGraw-Hill; $1.50), second of the projected series by the research division of the Committee for Economic Development...
...book, Economic Explorer Kaplan pointed out the landmarks by which each businessman must guide himself in his travels into the future...
...liquidation of war production, wrote Dr. Kaplan, is divided into three parts. The first obstacle is called Contract Cancellation and Settlement, is similar to the one business traversed after the last war, and can therefore be quickly recognized. If the war ended tomorrow, uncompleted contracts would total $80 to $100 billion. But since the war is not quite ending tomorrow, this barrier must be gradually reduced in size whenever any part of it no longer serves a military purpose. Any prolonging of war contracts is a hindrance to speedy reconversion. At the war's end the whole obstacle must...
...second sector in Dr. Kaplan's geography lesson in the reconversion territory is Disposal of War Supplies. Best estimates now are that these will total some $60 billion at the end of the war, enough to terrify most U.S. businessmen. But Explorer Kaplan points out that only a small portion of this is of the type likely to be offered for sale to U.S. consumers; three-quarters of it will be combat ordnance. Of the $15 billion merchantable goods, about one-half will be sold where it stands, across the oceans. The remainder suitable for the home market amounts...
Daring Statesmanship. Having thus made familiar two dangerous-looking areas, Dr. Kaplan tackled the third sector, War Plant and Equipment. As he analyzed the problem, about half of the $15.5 billion of war plants built by the Government are large facilities in such lines as shipbuilding, aircraft, aluminum and magnesium. If ingenuity fails to convert such facilities to peacetime use, he recommends courage in boldly dismantling those which cannot economically serve the people. Probably not more than $5 billion can be readily transformed into peace factories. Since $5 billion represents only about two years of normal investment in plant expansion...