Word: kayani
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...Royal Institute of International Affairs. "These are not actions that one normally associates with an elected government that has flaunted its democratic credentials." While she rules out a coup, Shaikh believes that Zardari's latest maneuvering will "create great consternation in the senior ranks of the army." General Ashfaq Kayani made a surprise visit to Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani on Wednesday to discuss the turmoil. "I suspect what might happen is an attempt by the military to orchestrate events in a way to curb or control Mr. Zardari's powers," added Shaikh. "Patience appears to be running out with...
...generals have shown no enthusiasm for such a change, despite a massive infusion of U.S. military aid meant to make it happen. Much of that money has been stolen or spent to defend against an attack from India; little has reached the border with Afghanistan. Army chief Ashfaq Kayani has made some effort to take on the Taliban and other militant groups, but fitfully and with mixed results...
...against extremists, even as he's telling the generals, 'Sorry, guys, we're making the civilians your bosses.'" In the past, the military has actively undermined every effort to put it under civilian control; expect more of the same. There are not many carrots the U.S. can dangle before Kayani to get him to change old habits. But the Biden-Lugar bill does provide some leverage: it requires $1 billion in military aid to be conditional on more effort by the Pakistani military to fight al-Qaeda and the Taliban, and become more accountable and transparent. The U.S. can nudge...
...influence is the security of Pakistan's nukes. The military won't let the U.S. anywhere near the arsenal. So the only way to avoid the nightmare of nuclear weapons in the hands of extremists is to trust in the Pakistani military's safeguards--and pray that Zardari and Kayani get serious about eliminating the extremists...
Both Zardari and Kayani will seek from Holbrooke an assurance that the U.S. will pressure India to resolve Kashmir. But Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is unlikely to play ball. India is intractably opposed to any outside mediation on Kashmir, and lobbied successfully to have the matter removed from Holbrooke's mandate. Especially after last November's terrorist attacks on Mumbai--blamed on a Pakistan-based group with long links to Islamabad's intelligence services--any hint of a concession to Pakistan would be hugely unpopular in India. The U.S. has some cards to play: it can offer India nuclear...