Word: kellner
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...dissenters in TIME's poll believe a downturn is already on the way. Irwin Kellner, chief economist for Manufacturers Hanover Trust, forecasts that GNP will contract by 1.5% next year. "Consumer spending is weak and likely to weaken further," he says. "Wages have just not kept up with inflation." Johsen Takahashi, of the Mitsubishi Research Institute in Tokyo, predicts a .5% decline for the U.S. economy in 1988: "The stock market will take another plunge next year, as will the dollar." The outlook, he warns, is "very...
PHOTOGRAPHY: Michele Stephenson (Associate Editor); Mary Dunn (Special Projects); Richard L. Boeth, MaryAnne Golon, Rose Keyser, Julia Richer (Assistant Editors); Linda D. Vartoogian, Helen Eisenberg (Administration); Carmine Ercolano (Operations) Researchers: Dorothy Affa Ames, Martha Bardach, Anne Callahan, Stanley Kayne, Paula Hornak Kellner, Polly J. Matthews, Gary Roberts, Nancy Smith- Alam, Melanie Stephens, Robert B. Stevens, Mary Themo...
PHOTOGRAPHY: Michele Stephenson (Associate Editor); Mary Dunn (Special Projects); Richard L. Boeth, MaryAnne Golon, Rose Keyser, Julia Richer (Assistant Editors); Linda D. Vartoogian, Helen Eisenberg (Administration); Carmine Ercolano (Operations) Researchers: Dorothy Affa Ames, Martha Bardach, Anne Callahan, Stanley Kayne, Paula Hornak Kellner, Polly J. Matthews, Gary Roberts, Nancy Smith-Alam, Melanie Stephens, Robert B. Stevens, Mary Themo Photographers: Eddie Adams, Terry Ashe, William Campbell, Sahm Doherty, Michael Evans, Rudi Frey, Dirck Halstead, Peter Jordan, Shelly Katz, David Hume Kennerly, Neil Leifer, Ben Martin, Harry Mattison, Mark Meyer, Ralph Morse, Robin Moyer, Carl Mydans, James Nachtwey, Matthew Naythons, Stephen Northup, Bill...
...economy will expand at a humdrum 2.8% annual rate during the last half of 1987 and a sluggish 1.4% in the first half of 1988. While that is a definite slowdown, it is not quite a dead halt. A few economists, however, predict a recession. Among them is Irwin Kellner, chief economist for Manufacturers Hanover, the New York City banking company, who thinks the U.S. economy will shrink by 2% in the first half of 1988 before quickly recovering...
PHOTOGRAPHY: Michele Stephenson (Associate Editor); Mary Dunn (Special Projects); Richard L. Boeth, MaryAnne Golon, Rose Keyser, Julia Richer (Assistant Editors); Linda D. Vartoogian, Helen Eisenberg (Administration); Carmine Ercolano (Operations) Researchers: Dorothy Affa Ames, Martha Bardach, Anne Callahan, Stanley Kayne, Paula Hornak Kellner, Polly J. Matthews, Gary Roberts, Nancy Smith- Alam, Melanie Stephens, Robert B. Stevens, Mary Themo...