Word: kim
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...main risks posed by a nuclear North Korea, of course, are very real - proliferation and black-market sales in nuclear technology. But both dangers may be exaggerated. Kim has already said he won't peddle his wares beyond his borders, a claim that may be more credible than it sounds. It's safe to assume that terrorist groups wouldn't hesitate to use a nuclear device against an American city if they ever got their hands on one; but that heightens the risk to the supplier too. Any evidence that a nuclear terror bomb had been supplied by Pyongyang would...
...announcing that it has tested a nuclear device, North Korea has ushered in a new age of global proliferation. One of the world's most closed societies and its megalomoniacal ruler now possess the ultimate weapon. Before long Kim Jong Il will be able to load nuclear warheads onto his long-range missiles and take aim at Los Angeles. Or he could outsource the job to al-Qaeda. A nuclear arms race in North Asia is inevitable. Overnight, the world has become a much scarier place...
...opposed to a smaller, cruder device, which may be just as plausible). How big a disaster would that really be? For years, intelligence estimates have said that North Korea already had the material for several nuclear bombs. Most analysts believed that it was only a matter of time before Kim went nuclear. Compared to India's nuclear test in 1998, which really did take the U.S. by surprise, North Korea's announcement was practically a foregone conclusion...
...that Pyongyang has confirmed what everyone suspected, it may find it has a less leverage to play the U.S. off against the other parties in the dispute. Everything about China's response to the North Korean test suggests that the Chinese are furious with Kim. The same appears to be true of South Korea, which until now had been pushing to make nice with the North. In in the wake of the test, it's almost impossible to see how Kim can avoid action by the U.N. Security Council. And though truly punitive sanctions are unlikely, at least at first...
Leave it to Kim Jong Il to try to spoil a party he wasn't invited to. The reclusive North Korean leader's decision to test a nuclear device Monday morning may well have been timed to disrupt two landmark summit meetings between new Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his counterparts in Beijing and Seoul. The test reportedly occurred as Abe was flying over the Korean peninsula, on his way from Beijing, where he spent Sunday, to Seoul. Yet in the short term, Pyongyang's provocation may have actually served to smooth the summits, giving the three estranged countries...