Word: knutson
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Dates: during 2010-2019
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...idea that there might be fewer Atlantic hurricanes in a warming world is not a new one. Earlier studies led by Thomas Knutson of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), a co-author of this week's Science paper, had reached the same conclusion. The explanation for this seemingly paradoxical finding: hurricane activity is governed not only by ocean temperatures, but also by factors such as ocean currents and the speed and direction of wind in different layers of atmosphere. It turns out, says Knutson, that the key to hurricane frequency is not simply...
...authors warn that their findings, while important, are not the final word and must be validated by others. Bender, Knutson and their colleagues ran the simulation using an average of 18 climate models at once, then reran it with four models individually. One of the models, Bender says, showed a decrease in the most powerful storms, demonstrating once again that the effects of climate change are complex and not easily predicted...