Word: koreans
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Dates: during 1990-1999
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...drive today for sanctions against North Korea, proposing an arms embargo in the United Nations. But the move stopped well short of using the biggest sticks against Pyongyang. Not included in the sanctions: shutting off oil exports to the country, as well as halting the flow of funds from Korean expatriates living in Japan, a major source of Pyongyang's foreign currency. Even as the U.S. initiated the lengthy process of imposing an international reprimand, North Korea suddenly appeared more accommodating. The Communist regime feted former President Jimmy Carter in the capital. And at least two U.N. nuclear facility inspectors...
...will prevail? The gloomiest scenario is also the most controversial. The 1991 assessment designed by retired U.S. Air Force Colonel Robert Gaskin predicts the all-important U.S. air campaign would never get off the ground. Instead, he forecasts that when squadrons of American and South Korean F-16s scramble at a dozen air bases, Scud missiles armed with nerve-gas warheads would slam into the tarmac, effectively shutting down operations. At bases like Osan, the huge U.S. air base 25 miles south of Seoul, North Korean commandos would suddenly appear and shoot up the base's preflight briefing room, killing...
Gaskin's report sees the entire South Korean front crumbling in as few as three days. Never trained to retreat and regroup, the Southern troops would flee in disorganized panic. North Korean armored columns would then envelop Seoul and drive south toward Taejon, a key crossroad, gobbling up captured oil and gasoline supplies along the way and speeding toward Pusan. As the invaders tear through the countryside, Seoul's lightly armed reserve units would fall to North Korea's tanks and armored personnel carriers. Millions of panicked civilians clog the highways, blocking South Korean reinforcements trying to move north...
...conclusions are ludicrous," a Pentagon official retorts. This official, who reflects current top-level thinking, is confident that North Korea cannot win. "Our scenarios are profoundly conservative because of the way we vastly overrate the North Korean troops...
...strikes on Pyongyang might prove trickier. North Korean facilities are heavily defended by antiaircraft guns and long-range SA-5 missiles, with many of those deeply dug into the ground. The most urgent job for aerial forces would be to blunt the North's offensive with antiarmor smart bombs and cluster bombs. Southern airfields have strengthened their defenses, and the arrival of Patriot missiles should help fend off lethal Scuds...