Word: lieberman
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...filthy attack on Obama as someone who would "rather lose a war than lose an election." (Obama has tried to strike back, but creative personal attacks just seem foreign to the Democrats' DNA.) The Republican Convention will doubtless be another assault on Obama, featuring McCain groupies like Joe Lieberman and Rudy Giuliani as attack dogs. Some of these attacks - those criticizing Obama's inexperience - are well within the bounds of traditional politics, but the uninterrupted gush of negativity has successfully diverted the media's attention from the fact that 80% of Americans think the country is moving in the wrong...
Then there's the surprise category, featuring Joe Lieberman and, making a late appearance in the Veepstakes, Texas Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison. Sources close to the campaign and the candidate say that if McCain could make his decision based solely on what he wants, he'd go with Lieberman, the Democratic-turned-independent Senator from Connecticut who served as Al Gore's running mate in 2000. Picking Lieberman, however, would be a huge gamble for McCain. Social conservatives, having only recently come to terms with McCain himself, would loudly oppose the selection of a pro-choice New Englander...
Says a GOP operative who informally advises the campaign: "All I can tell you is this: if Lieberman is picked, the dome of the convention hall will blow off. There will be a mushroom cloud...
...Then there is Hutchison, who is also personally pro-choice but who has voted consistently with conservatives on abortion. Though social conservatives would have doubts about her as the pick, they're not likely to oppose it or complain about it as passionately as they would Lieberman. "If she said all the right things - on parental notification, partial birth abortion, judicial appointments - it would be difficult but we could survive it," says a Republican consultant with ties to Evangelicals. "Bottom line, it wouldn't be a Lieberman-like blowup...
...speculation about Lieberman, Hutchison and other surprise choices like former Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge may be just that - speculation fueled by deliberate misinformation, head fakes and uninformed analysis. With Obama's pick, consensus was building around the idea that it would be Biden in the days leading up the announcement. There were a series of rumors that seemed aimed at throwing off the media, but in the end, the pick turned out to be Biden. The same may be true here. Romney and Pawlenty have long been considered the two most likely candidates. They still are. Occam's Razor...