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Dates: during 2010-2019
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...with Japan's Emperor, at Hatoyama's request. His overtures to China are part of a larger foreign policy agenda to integrate Japan more closely into a growing Asia. He advocates the formation of an East Asian community along the lines of Europe's, with a common regional currency like the euro. Such plans have led some in Washington to worry that Hatoyama believes Japan's future rests with a rising Asia and not the long-standing U.S. alliance...
...that's just the south. Secession there is likely to encourage other Sudanese independence fighters, like those in Darfur, or in the east of the country, or in the central-southern states of Southern Kordofan and the Blue Nile. Carter downplays the likelihood of an African Yugoslavia splintering violently under pressure from multiple forces. Gration is less sure. "Disintegration is not a foregone conclusion," he says. "It's my view that we can stop this." So why is South Sudan even trying, when the price of failure could be war and the price of success might be Sudan's disintegration...
...Sudan scholars like Alex de Waal, program director at the Social Science Research Council in New York City, and author of several books on Sudan, have argued the indictment was cathartic but counterproductive. It offered Bashir no chance to compromise, they said, while making him a champion of anti-Western defiance. Those views may have found traction inside the White House of Obama, who has favored mixing carrots with sticks and made a preference for engagement over confrontation a cornerstone of his foreign policy. On Oct. 19, Obama outlined a Sudan strategy that encapsulated this new U.S. approach to world...
...south's President, Salva Kiir Mayardit, was hardly encouraging. He ordered his troops "not to disrupt or intimidate" rivals and warned his new southern opponents not to campaign "using firearms." Says one veteran southern Sudan aid worker: "Not only is there no capacity in the government, there often seems like there's no interest in setting some up. People are just grabbing pieces for themselves...
...independence," notes Carter. Gressly argues South Sudan doesn't have to be fully formed at first, particularly if the global mission to build it continues, as he expects, for "10 to 15 to 20 years." And despite the World Bank holdup, there is progress. Juba may not look like much, but at least it looks like something. "There used to be nothing," says Itto. Some point to the Carter Center's spectacular recent advances in its fight against Guinea worm, a potentially lethal parasite carried by water, as proof, as Carter says, "that success is possible...