Word: loan
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...while the stocks of all banks are up over that period, Wells Fargo's increase is more than double the rise of the KBW Bank Index. As a result, Wells' shares are starting to look pricey - and the bank is still facing tens of billions of dollars more in loan losses in the next two years...
...Buffett and other investors may be putting too much faith in the bank management's ability to gauge future loan losses, something no major bank has gotten right during this downturn. And if there's even a bit of disappointment, Wells Fargo shares have further to fall than its rivals. The stock trades at a price-to-book multiple of 1.6; JPMorgan, another bank deemed to be in relatively good shape, has a price-to-book of just 1. On earnings, Wells trades at 16 times its expected bottom line this year. That's better than even Goldman Sachs, which...
...numbers from March are like canned vegetables. It takes them a long time to spoil. That point was driven home by a study Fitch, the credit ratings agency, is preparing that shows "that between 65% and 75% of modified subprime loans will fall 60-days or more delinquent within 12 months of the loan change." In other words, even if homeowners are given a second chance to keep their homes and enjoy lower monthly payments, they are prepared to walk away. (Read "Four Steps to Ending the Foreclosure Crisis...
...financial firm to be brought to its knees over a panicked long weekend. The Wall Street Journal's Kate Kelly takes us inside Bear's last, dizzying days: the lawyers swarming the sixth floor, the pleading phone calls to investors for emergency billions, the sickening realization that a lifesaving loan from the Federal Reserve would last two days--not 28. Kelly flicks at Bear Stearns' backstory--how its eat-what-you-kill culture and deep dive into mortgage securities sowed the seeds of its demise--but the real draw is the book's surgical detail. The day Bear sold itself...
...Some analysts believe that with the economy turning, commercial real estate loan losses will not be nearly as bad as Cassidy expects. But even under the government's baseline scenario for the banking industry, which was released as part of the stress test, U.S. banks could have as much as $84 billion in losses from commercial real estate. The government's adverse-case scenario suggests losses could reach as high as $200 billion...