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...Citigroup Loan losses: Even after making a government deal, the bank is still on the hook for the first $40 billion in loan losses in the pool it has insured. Citi also has $277 billion in other, nonhousing consumer loans, such as credit cards and student debt. Roubini estimates that about 17% of consumer loans will go unpaid nationwide. That translates into a $47 billion river of red ink. Add in everything else (commercial real estate, corporate loans), and Citigroup will have to swallow $106 billion in loan losses...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can Your Bank Pass the Stress Test? | 2/19/2009 | See Source »

...JPMorgan Chase Loan losses: JPMorgan largely avoided the troubled subprime-lending game. Not so Washington Mutual, which JPMorgan acquired in 2008 in an FDIC-brokered deal. With housing prices still falling, many of those WaMu loans are going unpaid. JPMorgan has $105 billion in credit card loans, which could cost the company some $18 billion. And there is an additional $262 billion in corporate and commercial loans, which, according to Roubini, could tally $26 billion more in red ink. All told, it's a $97 billion loss for JPMorgan...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can Your Bank Pass the Stress Test? | 2/19/2009 | See Source »

...Bank of America Loan losses: BofA's buyout of mortgage broker Countrywide means the bank has $400 billion in home loans outstanding - more than its competitors. Worse, Countrywide, by nearly all accounts, had shockingly low lending standards. Chalk up a higher-than-average $40 billion in losses there. On top of that, BofA has made $87 billion in loans to commercial real estate developers. Roubini predicts 17% of those loans will go bad as developers hit the skids. For BofA, that's $15 billion more in losses. Toss in $55 billion in commercial- and consumer-loan losses...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can Your Bank Pass the Stress Test? | 2/19/2009 | See Source »

...Wells Fargo Loan losses: When Wells Fargo acquired Wachovia late last year, it more than doubled its loan book. In good times, that would be a major coup. These days, it's major trouble. Home buyers owe the bank $360 billion, up from about $150 billion just three months ago. Next, Wells has $154 billion in commercial real estate loans, as well as $200 billion in other types of commercial debt. Apply Roubini's overall 13% loss projection, and the conclusion is that Wells may be sitting on a $117 billion loss...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can Your Bank Pass the Stress Test? | 2/19/2009 | See Source »

...Prognosis: Defibrillator. Stat! Wells Fargo is generally considered one of the banks that are least likely to fail. But our stress test says otherwise. Even with its $58 billion loan-loss buffer, Wells is still in the hole for $59 billion, or 60% of its capital. With $40 billion remaining and an expected $5 billion in income, the bank could sink to a less-than-rosy leverage ratio...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Can Your Bank Pass the Stress Test? | 2/19/2009 | See Source »

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