Word: macfarquhar
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...difference between this and previous protest movements is this is the first time you see a strong protest movement rallying against a strong government for a period of several weeks," MacFarquhar says...
...June 4, 1989, the regime lost its last shreds of legitimacy," MacFarquhar says, "When the government ordered the army to turn its guns against its own people...
...past, MacFarquhar says, campaigns of criticism forced people to turn against one another, and government criticism even pushed some to suicide. Since the massacre in Tiananmen, the government has lost its ability to control people merely through fear, MacFarquhar says. "They're going through the motions only because they don't want to be sent away to spend a nasty spell in prison," he explains...
...MacFarquhar points out that many on the leadership's "most-wanted" list remain at large. "In the old days," he says, "the network of informers was so efficient that within 24 to 48 hours any fugitive would be arrested...
Consequently MacFarquhar predicts a major crisis of leadership and of succession within five years. He says Deng had to use up virtually all of his political capital to maintain control during the crisis, and that no one of Deng's stature is waiting in the wings to take a firm hold of the government after he dies...