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...remedies Congress is in a fever pitch to approve may well end up hurting the rescue efforts. The bonus bills, which would apply to virtually every major bank - including Citigroup, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan Chase, as well as AIG, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac - will probably cause many of them to simply give back the TARP money sooner than they probably should, to avoid losing their best people to foreign banks, boutique firms or hedge funds that can pay bigger bonuses. "The week's events will cause a brain drain of salespeople...
...Freddie's portfolio of [mortgage] insurance is more risky than the market was led to believe," says Paul Miller, an analyst at FBR Capital Markets. Sister company Fannie Mae lost even more last year, with $58.7 billion of red ink. But Fannie was better capitalized than Freddie going into the credit crunch. So even though Freddie by many measures is smaller than Fannie, the problems at Freddie will probably end up costing more...
Citigroup and other banks have also lost money and will need more capital to survive. But in those cases it's not clear who will take the hit - shareholders, bondholders or the government. In the cases of AIG, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, however, there is no question where the money will come from. Freddie and Fannie were taken over by the government and put into conservatorship last fall. AIG is currently 80% owned by the government. The losses at those companies are now taxpayer losses. (See 25 people to blame for the financial crisis...
...least be stretched too thin. "Health care is yet another distraction on the list of things that have distracted Dodd from his [Banking] Committee work," says one Republican Senator who has served with Dodd on the committee. "Legislation to regulate the insurance industry and to crack down on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac languished before the committee while he was on the campaign trail. Then Countrywide distracted him from the housing bill, a bill that had to be overhauled by the Obama Administration this week," the Senator says, referring to the Administration's changes to the housing program created...
What's more, IndyMac is only one of four financial firms to have effectively been nationalized during the current financial crisis. Among that group, which also includes Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and AIG, only IndyMac has been returned to private ownership. The others seem a long way off from a similar outcome, if at all. Critics of nationalization say taking over and resolving the issues at a bank like Citigroup, which has hundreds of thousands of employees and businesses spread around the world, would be a much more difficult task than turning around IndyMac, which is a relatively small bank...