Word: making
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...talk about how winning strategies aren't transitive. What's the lesson for managers? One mistake managers make is they'll read a book that says: Here are the eight things great managers do. They figure if they just live up to those attributes then they'll succeed. Well, no. It's not the attributes that matter, it's the circumstances - what's going on around them. Almost all successful strategies are circumstance-based, not attribute-based. Boeing, for instance, a very smart company, had outsourced a lot of their products, but then they outsourced the design...
...just wrote an entire book about how smart people make bad decisions. Maybe you could shed some light on the financial meltdown. Increasingly, we as human beings create systems that are more complex than we can comprehend. If you're designing an airplane you create redundancies to try to mitigate bad outcomes, but as we saw earlier this year with Air France 447, when certain cascading events line up, they can lead to a disaster that you just can't anticipate. In the realm of the social, we create institutions like global, interconnected markets. By and large when investors...
...fairly boring and reasonably well regulated. And their core businesses are - but they were able to get away from their core activities and move further out on the risk spectrum and jeopardize the whole operation. So much more stringent capital requirements for banks as they get larger, to make sure that as they get larger they get more boring. For compensation, one way to mitigate risk is to defer some chunk of compensation so that it's only success over time that you get paid for. Having a compensation czar dictate who should earn what is probably not a great...
Well, honesty never goes unpunished. Could you give me a good reason then why investors wouldn't be better off with index funds? By and large, investors would be better off with index funds. The question to me is, if you are an active manager, what makes you think you can do better than others over time? We like to think about four distinct building blocks. One is thinking about capital markets more properly. Sometimes markets are efficient and sometimes they aren't. The insight is knowing what mechanisms lead you from efficiency to inefficiency. The second is being very...
...such exchange dated Nov. 3, 2006, Gu wrote to Rogoff, “I want to make sure that you know this. I am willing to be with you any time if it is not against my principles and integrity...