Word: margin
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...poll shows that a candidate is ahead only when the difference between his support and the support for another candidate is twice the margin of error...
Polls measure averages. The margin of error demonstrates the range where that average could be. For example, if 45 percent of voters say they will vote for you, in a poll with a margin of error of five percent, that means your support is somewhere between 40 and 50 percent. If in the same poll, your opponent gets 39 percent support, the six percent difference does not mean you are ahead. Because your support could be as low as 41 percent, and that of your opponent as high as 44 percent, you are tied...
...that over the long term, the University would like to exceed its overall benchmark by 1.5 percentage points per year, much less than the 13.6 percent it accumulated this year. Over the last five years, the University has exceeded its benchmarks by an average of 3.8 percent of the margin...
That's the way it has been statewide in what is arguably the nation's most contentious Senate race. For nearly a year, Carnahan and Ashcroft have been within the margin of error in the polls. That's not surprising. The two popular pols have cast a shadow over Missouri politics for a generation. They've won nine statewide races between them. But the contest is more than a Show Me state battle. Missouri is a microcosm: it has picked the winner in every presidential election this century except one ('56), and is an important battleground in the tight presidential...
GROWING UP FAST Investors often overlook new funds, especially small-caps without long track records. You shouldn't. This year average small-cap growth funds are outperforming their large-cap counterparts by a margin of 7%. And the No. 1 fund in the category, William Blair, has been around for less than a year. Returns like that show it's worth taking a harder look at the newcomers...