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...year. And he's aligned with Bush in a year of Bush fatigue over the Bush economy. Emory University's Alan Abramowitz has concocted a formula that has predicted the popular vote winner in 14 of the last 15 elections; it missed in 1968 but got the razor-thin margin right. His barometer uses three criteria: the approval rating of the incumbent President, the economic growth rate and the "time-for-a-change" factor of whether the incumbent's party has controlled the White House for two terms. McCain's score is the worst since Jimmy Carter...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Never Underestimate McCain, But ... | 7/22/2008 | See Source »

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh easily won a vote of confidence in the Indian Parliament on Tuesday evening, more than two hours behind schedule but with a comfortable margin of victory, 275 to 256, after a day of bruising attacks that turned the floor of parliament into an arena of hand-to-hand political combat...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: India's Government Survives Vote | 7/22/2008 | See Source »

...three years and $4.7 billion after Reagan's Star Wars speech of March 1983, there is no evidence that the answer this time is yes. Even if SDI could theoretically create a system that is survivable (i.e., invulnerable to a crippling pre-emptive attack) and cost-effective at the margin (cheaper to maintain than the enemy's offensive countermeasures)--and there is no evidence yet that this is possible--the situation would not last long. While one side is perfecting its defenses, the other is working feverishly on countermeasures--and very likely nuclear countermeasures, precisely because those are probably going...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: GRAND COMPROMISE | 7/21/2008 | See Source »

...Soviets will in effect say ''uncle.'' Nitze stressed, as he has on earlier occasions, that the U.S. should not deploy SDI unless it is ''survivable.'' It cannot be so vulnerable that the Soviets would be tempted to shoot it down. And it must be ''cost-effective at the margin.'' This means that once SDI is deployed, it must not be cheaper for the Soviets to add new offensive weapons than it is for the U.S. to add new defenses to stop them. This standard has met some resistance from the chief of the SDI program, Air Force Lieut. General James...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: STRATEGIC QUESTIONS | 7/21/2008 | See Source »

...Kenya, as the U.N.'s envoy to Zimbabwe. One by one, those African and Western leaders who claim to be disgusted with Mugabe should announce that they bilaterally recognize the validity of the March 29 first-round election results, which showed the opposition winning 48% to 43%, though the margin was almost surely larger. The countries which do would make up the new "March 29 bloc" within the U.N. and would declare Morgan Tsvangirai the new President of Zimbabwe. They would then announce that Mugabe and the 130 leading cronies who have already been sanctioned by the West will...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Saving Zimbabwe | 7/3/2008 | See Source »

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