Word: marginals
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Dates: during 1970-1979
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...tabulation lead by the regional pride of his nearly solid native South. Then he seized two large states that had seemed doubtful: Texas and Pennsylvania. Once again, as in the early campaign against Ford, victory seemed all but certain. Once again, just as he had seen that huge campaign margin vanish, Carter could not pin down the 270 electoral votes needed to move him into the White House...
SLIM THOUGH the margin was, Jimmy Carter's victory last week represents a mandate for progressive change in American government. The coalition Carter forged to insure his triumph in the election included blacks--voting, and more importantly, voting Democratic, in historic numbers--and rural whites, particularly in the south; members of major industrial unions supported him nationally by a two to one margin, and in the end, all of the liberal and even the most marked left-wing elements in the Democratic party banded together behind his candidacy...
...year ago it was 21-3--Saturday in Philadelphia it was 20-8--and considering the fact that the Quakers committed the ungodly number of nine turnovers (six interceptions, three fumbles), the 12-point margin is certainly a generous...
Would the slim margin the polls gave Carter translate into a victory? Universally, the nervous pollsters agreed that this depended on the voter turnout. Declared Pollster Louis Harris: "Voter turnout has never before been such a pivotal factor. We have never been so worried about...
...vote drives to his areas of known strength. Even if the turnout is in the low 50% range, Carter could win a thin popular-vote edge but lose in the Electoral College. More probably, how ever, this would enable Carter to hold a slim popular-vote margin that could translate into a substantial electoral victory. At 55% or better, he is generally conceded the election...