Word: marginals
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...interviews were conducted via telephone by Opinion Research Corp. Oct. 23-28, 2008. Results are among likely voters, with all five polls having an error margin of 3.5 percentage points...
Much of that reservoir is African American. While Bush chipped into Ohio's black vote in 2004, the Obama campaign expects to see black support above 90%. In a county like Hamilton, which is one-quarter African American, that enthusiasm could provide the margin of victory. Obama's army has blanketed the county with signs and posters. Capitalizing on Ohio's early-voting law, it has organized van rides to shuttle students, low-income residents and even homeless voters to the early polling station downtown. One Obama aide says the campaign needs socially conservative whites on the East Side...
...Party netted just one seat. But that larger outcome masked an intriguing development: anti-gay conservatives had suffered considerably. For instance, in northern Virginia, a Democrat named Charles Caputo (who received $6,500 from Ebbin's PAC) had beaten a Christian youth minister, Chris Craddock, by an unexpectedly large margin, with a vote of 56% to 41%. Three other candidates critical of gays were also defeated, including delegate Richard Black, who had long opposed gay equality in Richmond. Black had had no single donation as large as the $20,000 that Ebbin's PAC gave his opponent. "This...
...Obama leads McCain among likely voters by 51% to 47% in Ohio, a 4-point margin that has not budged since last week's TIME survey. But he's now ahead of McCain by 52% to 45% in Nevada and 52% to 46% in North Carolina, leads that are both slightly larger than those reported by TIME in its surveys a week earlier...
...statewide surveys also show Obama leading McCain in Pennsylvania, the key blue state in which McCain is making a last-ditch, major push to score an upset, by a comfortable 12-point margin, 55% to 43%. But Obama still trails his Republican rival in McCain's home state of Arizona by a 7-point margin...