Word: margineers
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...House. The Democrats widen their margin [This entire article consists of a complex diagram. Please see hardcopy of magazine...
Many Harvard experts have predicted that today’s presidential election will bring a certain victory for Barack Obama. The national election polls yesterday showed Obama leading by a margin of about 10 percent. And Harvard pundits from the College, the Kennedy School, the Law School, and the Institute of Politics said in e-mailed statements that this lead was unlikely to disappear when ballots were cast today. Government and African and African American Studies professor Jennifer L. Hochschild said, “Obama will win (no surprise!).” Cass R. Sunstein...
...push in the city Monday night, with an appearance by running mate Joe Biden and several members of the World Champion Philadelphia Phillies baseball team. Significantly, the appearance was in a heavily white, blue collar district in South Philadelphia, where Hillary Clinton won in the primary by a large margin and the McCain campaign hopes to pick up enough conservative, Catholic Democratic voters to help depress Obama's margin of victory in the city...
...problem that has long been endemic to exit polls. Over the past 20 years, they have slightly favored the Democratic candidate for President in every election. Many observers believe that's because Democrats are more willing to talk to exit pollsters. Exit polls also suffer from an unusually high margin of error due to the difficulty of choosing sample precincts that mirror all of the diverse precincts in the area...
...conservative predecessor, Jeb Bush (the President's brother, who was governor from 1999 to 2007). A big reason: in a 2006 congressional race in Sarasota County, an incredible 15% of ballots cast on touch-screen machines registered no choice at all - in a race decided by a razor-thin margin of 386 votes. All 67 Florida counties have now adopted some form of a paper-ballot optical scan, in which votes are marked on a sheet and electronically tallied. Crist's move "was a giant step in the right direction," says Dan McCrea, head of the Florida Voters Coalition...