Word: margins
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...TIME poll of likely voters last week, Bush pulled in 46% vs. Kerry's 44% in a three-way race with Ralph Nader (5%). The poll showed a shift from early August, when Kerry had a 5-point lead, though in both cases the difference was within the margin of error. Bush may be showing movement, but more registered voters still say it's time for someone else to be President (49%) than believe Bush deserves to be re-elected (46%)--numbers sure to give G.O.P. stalwarts heartburn. It's even worse among swing voters, only a third of whom...
...tell them. That can lead to error, says Leigh, because "you're sampling only a fraction of the population" and "people might say anything just to get rid of the interviewer." Overall poll results - percentages of the total vote - may not correspond to numbers of seats won. And in marginal seats, on which many elections turn, the margin of error can exceed the margin of victory. In '01, the betting markets' predictive power in these seats "really surprised us," says Leigh. "But the people who were betting on those seats knew them very, very well...
...gold out of reach. But while gripping the bar, Yang turned one hand the wrong waya "mixed grip"--an error that opened the door. Hamm swung through it, whirling through the routine of his life, soaring high off the bar three times before nailing the dismount. Hamm's winning margin, .012 points led South Korea to file a protest, and the International Gymnastics Federation admitted that a scoring mistake probably cost Yang the gold. But unless the Court of Arbitration for Sport rules otherwise, Hamm's medal is safe, since, unlike in figure skating, judges' scores can't be overturned...
Manufacturers aren't giving up on their bigger, higher-profit-margin SUVs but are adding more safety features. Ford is including a roll-stability-control system as standard equipment on four 2005 models, including the Explorer. The all-new 2005 Jeep Grand Cherokee will have optional electronic stability control, which can detect skidding and automatically slow the car, along with a new tire-pressure monitor (rollovers can be caused by a blown tire) and side-curtain air bags. You'll pay extra for some of these features, but they may well help SUVs turn the corner toward improved safety...
...tattered image in time for elections in 2006. Gyurcsany, 43, who's moving up from Youth and Sports Minister, made his fortune by buying state enterprises at fire-sale prices in the early 1990s. In a party vote, he beat an old-guard politician named Peter Kiss by a margin of 40% after Peter Medgyessy, the former PM, officially quit. Although lacking in experience, Gyurcsany is not lacking in confidence. "He believes in himself and he believes he can win, and maybe that will make others believe," a senior party organizer told TIME after the ballot. "He's a risk...